I often read that borrowers in one state or another are more likely to default on Prosper loans. I decided to investigate if there is any truth to the likelihood that some states are worse credit risks than others. The example that often comes to mind is Georgia which has a high default rate. Currently Georgia has nearly 8% defaults and about 10% late which is a higher than average rate of late loans, but nine states have more loans that are two or more months late than Georgia.
My interest in state by state loan default rates prompted my article Pennsylvania Loans: What were early Prosper lenders thinking? At the same time, I noticed how state interest rate caps vary widely from state to state — Pennsylvania 6% and Georgia 36%. I decided to see if the interest rate caps could partially explain the difference in Prosper loan default rates by state. My theory is [Read more...]